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Analytics Last Updated 

February 26, 2024

Market Insights and Developments

This week's economic indicators have shown mixed results, and I'd like to share with you how these developments could impact the housing market.

1. Labor Market and Housing Demand

  • Job Growth: November saw an addition of 199,000 jobs, surpassing the forecast. This is a positive sign for the real estate market as job growth often leads to increased consumer confidence and a higher demand for housing.

  • Revisions and Retail Sector: The downward revision in job numbers for previous months and a decline in the retail sector suggest a note of caution in the market.

2. Unemployment and Wage Growth

  • Unemployment Rate: A decrease to 3.7% in unemployment could mean more people are in a position to buy homes, potentially boosting the real estate market.

  • Wage Growth and Interest Rates: The rise in average hourly earnings points to a strong economy. However, this could lead to higher interest rates in the future, affecting mortgage affordability.

3. JOLTS Data and Mortgage Rates

  • Job Openings and Quits Rate: The decrease in job openings and quits rate indicates a less competitive labor market. This could lead to stable or lower interest rates, maintaining affordability in the housing market.

  • Impact on Mortgage Rates: Lower mortgage rates, as suggested by the current data, can sustain buyer demand as home financing becomes more accessible

4. Mortgage Applications and Market Trends

  • Refinancing Surge: The increase in refinancing applications shows homeowners are taking advantage of lower rates to reduce their mortgage payments.

  • Purchase Applications: Despite the refinancing boom, purchase applications remain lower than last year, indicating potential buyer caution or a response to tight housing inventory.

Conclusion and Next Steps: The current economic landscape presents a mix of opportunities and challenges in the residential real estate market. Our team is ready to provide you with tailored advice and support to navigate these trends effectively. Please feel free to contact us for a more detailed analysis and to discuss how these factors might influence your real estate plans.

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If you are considering selling your property and would like a copy of our book, “A SELLER’S GUIDE TO PRICING A HOME CORRECTLY”, please contact us.  Our book is 31 pages and covers all aspects we consider when advising a client on the value of their home. 

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